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Bitcoin volatility will match major fiat currencies by 2019

Bitcoin was created in 2009 by a mysterious character who claimed it to be a payments network. But unlike most other payment networks like PayPal and Visa, it screwed with our minds by having its own token. A token that had a price that floated against other currencies. In basic terms, this means if you fund a bitcoin wallet to buy something, it may be worth less (or more) by the time you come around to spending it.

This is the story of bitcoin volatility, we’ll be studying its personality over its short and notorious history. It was partly inspired by Vinny Lingham who calculated Bitcoin will achieve the necessary price stability to be a store of value at $3000 per coin (~$50b market cap), and estimated that to be two year away. We shall see if the data backs this up.

We’ll start this journey with a bit of eye candy. Let me plot for you the volatility of 600 cryptocurrencies against their market caps and 24 hour traded volume (i.e. liquidity). Volatility is represented by the size of their circle. Okay circles, I want you to be small and towards the top, got it? (This equals low volatility and high liquidity).

The Volatility of 600 cryptocurrencies

As it turns out it was a weak correlation between market cap and volatility. Apart from looking real nice, it showed just how far ahead bitcoin is over the other coins. Pundits should know I used log scales and exponentially scaled circles to reduce the exaggerated differences here.

Continue reading Bitcoin volatility will match major fiat currencies by 2019

I have a lot of brain-farts on crypto-currency. For more farting, follow me on Twitter @dangermouse117

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