16 posts about
Bitcoin

Bitcoin volatility will match major fiat currencies by 2019

Bitcoin was created in 2009 by a mysterious character who claimed it to be a payments network. But unlike most other payment networks like PayPal and Visa, it screwed with our minds by having its own token. A token that had a price that floated against other currencies. In basic terms, this means if...

Bitcoin Market Cap should be $40b according to Metcalfe's law

Metcalfe’s Law states the value of a network is proportional to the number of members squared. I thought it’d be fun to run the numbers on the Bitcoin Network. Since we don’t have solid figures on the number of active users on the network, I’ve had to use network transactions*...

Historical Bitcoin returns vs Altcoins

In my pursuit to analyse Altcoin returns if you had bought the entire market like an index fund, I just ran some numbers: Period Bitcoins Altcoins Sep 2013-2016 470% 1970% Sep 2015-2016 170% 268% Sep 2014-2015 -47% 20% Sep 2013-2014 300% 369% I’ve yet to work out risk return on altcoins but I...

Block size debate : Increasing block size for capacity won't work

Bitcoin’s blockchain is like a telephone party line, it’ll work for a village but it won’t when it scales to the world. Pundits are debating whether we should increase the block size indefinitely to allow more capacity on the network. Well I guess it’s time to take an analytical approach…...

Scaling Bitcoin. It'll breakout soon! Humour, not really.

Just for kicks, I thought I’d apply some trading technical analysis to the Bitcoin Network transactions per second graph. Turns out we’re in a flag pattern and she’s gonna breakout sometime before May 2017. Behind all this are some more serious fundamentals… this graph is logarithmic so tx/s is climbing...